Pork Barreling Is Not Credit Claiming or Advertising: Campaign Finance and the Sources of the Personal Vote in Brazil
نویسنده
چکیده
Although observers of Brazilian politics commonly hold that voters reward incumbents for “bringing home the bacon,” I provide reasons to question the direct link between pork and electoral success as well as statistical evidence demonstrating the lack of such a link. This generates a puzzle: if pork barreling is ineffective, why do Brazilian deputies spend so much time seeking pork? The answer is that deputies do not trade pork for votes, they trade pork for money: porkbarrel success helps incumbents raise funds from private sector interests that profit from government contracts. In turn, politicians’ access to money, not pork, directly affects their electoral prospects. This article provides a new understanding of the electoral connection in Brazil by showing that existing analyses either have overestimated pork’s impact or are underdetermined because they have not included measures of campaign finance. The findings should also encourage comparativists interested in pork-barrel politics, clientelism, the personal vote, and campaign behavior more generally to focus attention on the role of money in elections.
منابع مشابه
The Effect of Electoral Geography on Pork Barreling in Bicameral Legislatures
How does the electoral geography of legislative districts affect pork barreling? This article presents a formal model extending Mayhew’s classic credit-claiming theory to account for the electoral geography of bicameralism. Under bicameralism, upper chamber (Senate) and lower chamber (Assembly) legislators who share overlapping constituencies must collaborate to bring home pork projects. Collab...
متن کاملHow Words and Money Cultivate a Personal Vote: The Effect of Legislator Credit Claiming on Constituent Credit Allocation
Particularistic spending, a large literature argues, builds support for incumbents. This literature equates money spent in the district with the credit constituents allocate. Yet, constituents lack the necessary information andmotivation to allocate credit in this way.We use extensive observational and experimental evidence to showhow legislators’ credit claimingmessages—and not justmoney spent...
متن کاملStructural Equilibrium Analysis of Political Advertising
We present a structural model of political advertising in equilibrium. Candidates choose advertising across media markets in order to maximize the probability of winning the national election. The voter model takes the form of an aggregate random coefficients discrete choice model in which advertising affects a voter’s incentive to vote for either candidate or not to vote at all. We estimate th...
متن کاملPolitical Advertising and the Electoral College∗
We present a structural model of political advertising in equilibrium. Candidates’ choose advertising based on its marginal impact on the probability of winning the election, the returns from winning and the cost of advertising. The voter model takes the form of an aggregate discrete choice model in which advertising affects a voter’s incentive to vote for either candidate or not to vote at all...
متن کاملCredit Risk Predictive Ability of G-ZPP Model Versus V-ZPP Model
Credit risk management is becoming more and more important in recent years. When a company deals with a financial problem, it may not be able to fulfill its financial obligations, which can cause direct and indirect financial losses to shareholders, creditors, investors and other people in the community. Advanced credit risk models that are based on market value include improving credit quality...
متن کامل